A major warning from the Bank for International Settlements suggests Trump’s trade policies threaten to undo recent progress on inflation control. BIS General Manager Agustin Carstens reports that tariffs are creating economic uncertainty comparable to crisis conditions, potentially forcing central banks into a corner. The Fed faces the worst-case scenario: rising prices from import tariffs combined with slowing economic growth. This “stagflation” risk means traditional monetary tools become less effective – raising rates hurts growth while cutting rates fuels inflation. For precious metals investors, this environment historically favors gold and silver as hedges against currency debasement and economic uncertainty. The BIS emphasizes that consumer sensitivity to prices remains high post-pandemic, meaning even modest inflation could trigger significant market reactions.
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